By rikififi90 
The classic between Inter Milan and AC Milan, known as the Derby della Madonnina, takes center stage at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan on Wednesday, April 23, at 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), for the second leg of the Coppa Italia 2024/25 semifinal. After a 1-1 draw in the first leg, with goals from Tammy Abraham for Milan and Hakan Çalhanoğlu for Inter, both teams enter the match with equal chances of advancing to the final, set for May 14 at the Olympic Stadium in Rome. Inter, the Serie A leader and Champions League semifinalist, aims to solidify its successful season, while Milan, ninth in the Italian league, bets on the competition to salvage its year and secure a Europa League spot. The match will be broadcast live by CazéTV on YouTube and Prime Video, with expectations of a large audience in Brazil and worldwide. The clash promises tension, rivalry, and decisive moments, with Inter missing Marcus Thuram and Milan counting on the return of players like Kyle Walker and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
The historic rivalry between the two Milanese clubs, who have faced each other 229 times in official matches, adds even more weight to the duel. Inter holds the edge in the head-to-head record, with 85 wins compared to Milan’s 74 and 70 draws. However, the last five encounters have been balanced, with three draws and one win for each side. Milan’s last significant victory came in the Italian Super Cup in January, defeating Inter 3-2 in a dramatic comeback. Inter, in turn, eliminated Milan in the 2021/22 Coppa Italia semifinal with a 3-0 score in the second leg. Expectations are for a tightly contested match, with strong defending and few clear scoring chances, as recent statistics show three of the last five classics with under 2.5 goals.
Inter, led by Simone Inzaghi, is enjoying a high-level season, with 71 points at the top of Serie A and a solid Champions League campaign, facing Barcelona in the semifinals. Despite a recent 1-0 loss to Bologna, the blue-and-black team maintains tactical consistency and offensive strength led by Lautaro Martínez. Milan, under Sérgio Conceição, faces an inconsistent season, with only 51 points in Serie A and struggles to reach European spots. The Coppa Italia is seen as the main chance to win a title and restore fan confidence. The San Siro, with a capacity of 81,000 spectators, promises to be a football spectacle, with both teams fielding their best available lineups.
- Match: Inter Milan vs AC Milan, Coppa Italia 2024/25 semifinal
- Date and time: April 23, 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time)
- Venue: Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, Milan
- Broadcast: CazéTV (YouTube) and Prime Video
Context of the classic in the Coppa Italia
The Derby della Madonnina is one of the most iconic clashes in world football, pitting two Italian giants who share the same stadium and a century-long rivalry. In the Coppa Italia, Italy’s most traditional competition after Serie A, Inter and Milan have a history of memorable duels. Inter has won the tournament nine times, with their last triumph in 2023, while Milan has lifted the trophy five times, with their last title in 2003. The 2025 semifinal marks the eighth time the two clubs face off in the competition’s knockout stages, with four advancements for each side.
In the first leg, played on April 2, the 1-1 draw reflected the balance between the teams. Tammy Abraham opened the scoring for Milan shortly after halftime with a precise shot into the bottom corner. Inter responded with a stunning long-range goal from Hakan Çalhanoğlu at the 67th minute. The match was marked by strong defending and few clear chances, with Inter dominating possession but unable to break through Milan’s defense. The result left the decision open for the second leg, where a simple victory secures a spot in the final. In case of another draw, the match will go to extra time and, if necessary, penalties.
The clash also carries emotional weight for fans. The San Siro, the match’s venue, will be split between Inter’s blue-and-black supporters and Milan’s red-and-black fans, creating a unique atmosphere. The rivalry, which began in 1908, has produced historic moments, such as Milan’s elimination of Inter in the 2003 Champions League semifinal and Inter’s 3-0 victory in the 2005 quarterfinals of the same competition. For 2025, expectations are for a tactical game, with both coaches prioritizing defensive solidity to avoid mistakes at a crucial moment.
From the archives 🎞️📸#ForzaInter #CoppaItaliaFrecciarossa #DerbyMilano #InterMilan pic.twitter.com/0DmTXFJoTA
— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) April 23, 2025
Recent form of the teams
Inter Milan arrives at the classic with confidence, despite a stumble against Bologna in the latest Serie A round. With 71 points, the team leads the Italian championship, tied with Napoli, and maintains a consistent Champions League campaign, defeating Feyenoord 4-1 on aggregate in the round of 16. Simone Inzaghi’s team is known for its tactical organization, with a solid defense led by Alessandro Bastoni and a creative midfield driven by Nicolò Barella and Hakan Çalhanoğlu. The absence of Marcus Thuram, sidelined with a left thigh injury, is a challenge, but Lautaro Martínez, with 12 goals this season, remains the main offensive weapon.
Milan, on the other hand, is experiencing an up-and-down season. With 51 points in Serie A, the team sits in ninth place, five points behind European qualification spots. A 1-0 loss to Atalanta last weekend increased pressure on coach Sérgio Conceição, who took over in December. Despite the inconsistency, Milan has shown strength in key moments, such as the 3-2 comeback victory over Inter in the Italian Super Cup in January, with goals from Theo Hernández, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham. Rafael Leão, with his speed and skill, is the biggest hope to unsettle the match.
Recent statistics highlight the balance of the classic. In the last five games between Inter and Milan, each team averaged 1.2 goals per match, with an average of 4.6 cards per game, indicating the intensity of the duels. Inter has a slight edge in corners, averaging 6 per game compared to Milan’s 3.9. For the second leg, Inter is expected to rely on its possession, which reached 58% in the first leg, while Milan will look for quick counterattacks, exploiting the skills of Leão and Pulisic.
- Inter: Serie A leader with 71 points, Champions League semifinalist
- Milan: 9th in Serie A with 51 points, aiming for a title to save the season
- Recent clashes: Three draws, one Inter win, one Milan win
- Absences: Marcus Thuram (Inter); Kyle Walker and Loftus-Cheek are doubts (Milan)
Probable lineups and tactical strategies
Inter Milan is expected to stick with its usual 3-5-2 formation, with Yann Sommer in goal and a defensive line of Yann Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, and Alessandro Bastoni. On the wings, Denzel Darmian and Carlos Augusto provide offensive and defensive support, while the midfield will feature Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, and Henrikh Mkhitaryan, responsible for creativity and marking. Up front, Mehdi Taremi replaces Marcus Thuram alongside Lautaro Martínez, who is chasing his 13th goal of the season. Simone Inzaghi is likely to prioritize possession and high pressing to force Milan into mistakes.
Milan, lined up in a 3-4-3 by Sérgio Conceição, will have Mike Maignan in goal, with Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, and Strahinja Pavlovic in defense. Alejandro Jiménez and Theo Hernández occupy the wings, while Youssouf Fofana and Tijjani Reijnders form the midfield duo. Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, and Rafael Leão make up the attacking trio, with Leão as the main weapon in high-speed plays. Milan is expected to adopt a reactive stance, betting on quick counterattacks to surprise Inter’s defense.
The lineups reflect the coaches’ strategies. Inzaghi relies on the experience of his starters, even without Thuram, while Conceição trusts the individual talent of Leão and Pulisic to create goal-scoring opportunities. The return of Kyle Walker and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, previously injured, gives Milan more options, but their participation will only be confirmed hours before the match. Inter may bring on Davide Frattesi in the second half to bolster the midfield.
History of the Derby della Madonnina
The Inter vs Milan clash is one of the oldest and most prestigious in world football, with 229 official matches since 1908. Inter has won 85 times, while Milan has triumphed in 74, with 70 draws. In the Coppa Italia, the teams have met 25 times, with 12 Inter victories, 8 for Milan, and 5 draws. Inter has the recent edge in the competition, eliminating Milan in the 2021 quarterfinals (2-1) and the 2022 semifinal (3-0 on aggregate).
The Italian Super Cup in January 2025 marked Milan’s last significant win, with a 3-2 comeback in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Lautaro Martínez and Mehdi Taremi put Inter 2-0 up, but Theo Hernández, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham secured the title for the rossoneri. The match was decided in stoppage time, with Rafael Leão providing the assist for Abraham’s goal. This result boosted Milan’s confidence for the classic, but Inter remains the favorite due to its consistency throughout the season.
Historic moments in the Derby della Madonnina include the 2003 Champions League semifinal, when Milan advanced with two draws (0-0 and 1-1) due to the away goals rule, and the 2005 quarterfinals, when Milan won 2-0 and 3-0. In the Coppa Italia, the clashes are typically close, with games decided by small details. The average goals in the last ten classics is 2.3 per match, suggesting the second leg may be more of a tactical battle than a goal fest.
- Total matches: 229, with 85 Inter wins, 74 Milan wins, and 70 draws
- In the Coppa Italia: 25 matches, with 12 Inter wins and 8 Milan wins
- Milan’s last win: 3-2 in the Italian Super Cup, January
- Inter’s last win: 3-0 in the 2022 Coppa Italia semifinal
Impact of the classic on the season
The outcome of the classic will have direct consequences for Inter and Milan’s ambitions in the 2024/25 season. For Inter, advancing to the Coppa Italia final is a step toward a potential treble, as the team also leads Serie A and is in the Champions League semifinals. A victory over their rival would boost the squad’s confidence and solidify Simone Inzaghi’s status as one of Europe’s top coaches. Inter has won the Coppa Italia in 2022 and 2023, and a third title in four years would be a historic milestone for the club.
For Milan, the Coppa Italia is the main chance to win a title this season and secure a spot in the 2025/26 Europa League, as the team is far from the top spots in Serie A. Sérgio Conceição, who took over in December, faces pressure to improve the team’s performance, and a win in the classic would be a turning point. The Italian Super Cup title, won against Inter, showed Milan’s potential to surprise, but inconsistency in the league remains a concern.
The winner of the clash will face Bologna or Empoli in the final, scheduled for May 14. Bologna holds the advantage after a 3-0 win in the first leg, making them the likely opponent. For Inter and Milan, the final represents not only a chance at a trophy but also an opportunity to mark the season with a significant achievement against a historic rival.
Where to watch and how to follow the match
Brazilian fans can watch the classic live on CazéTV, available for free on YouTube, and on the Prime Video streaming platform, which requires a subscription. The broadcast begins at 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), with pre-match coverage starting at 3:30 p.m. on both channels. CazéTV has stood out for its Coppa Italia broadcasts, offering lively narration and commentary, while Prime Video provides a premium experience with high-definition image quality.
For those preferring real-time updates, apps like Sofascore and Flashscore offer live statistics, including possession, shots on goal, corners, and cards. The clubs’ social media accounts, such as Inter and Milan’s official profiles on Instagram and Twitter, will also post minute-by-minute updates, with videos of key moments and post-match interviews. Expectations are for high online engagement, with fans sharing memes, analyses, and banter during the classic.
In addition to live broadcasts, the match will be available for replay on Prime Video, allowing fans to rewatch the best moments. For those in Milan, tickets for the San Siro match are sold out, with prices ranging from 50 to 200 euros, depending on the section. The atmosphere at the stadium promises to be electric, with both clubs’ organized fan groups preparing mosaics and chants to support their teams.
- Live broadcast: CazéTV (YouTube) and Prime Video
- Time: 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), with pre-match at 3:30 p.m.
- Online updates: Sofascore, Flashscore, and clubs’ social media
- Tickets: Sold out, with prices from 50 to 200 euros
Statistics and curiosities of the clash
The Derby della Madonnina is known for its intensity and balance, with statistics reflecting the rivalry. In the last ten clashes, Inter scored 13 goals, while Milan netted 10. The average cards per match is 4.6, with two red cards in the last five classics, indicating the physicality of the games. Corners are also a highlight, with Inter leading with an average of 6 per game compared to Milan’s 3.9.
Curiously, Inter hasn’t beaten Milan in their last four meetings, a streak that includes three draws and the Super Cup loss. Inter’s last win was in the 2023 Champions League semifinal, eliminating Milan with a 3-0 aggregate score. For Milan, the classic is a chance to repeat January’s feat, when Rafael Leão was decisive with a stoppage-time assist. Tijjani Reijnders, Milan’s Dutch midfielder, has also shone against Inter, with a goal and an assist in three games this season.
Another relevant stat is the teams’ performance in the Coppa Italia. Inter has a 75% win rate in their last ten matches in the competition, while Milan won 60% of their games. The 2023 final, when Inter beat Fiorentina 2-1, showcased Inzaghi’s team’s strength in decisive matches. Milan, meanwhile, hasn’t reached the final since 2003, when they defeated Roma.
- Goals in last ten matches: Inter 13, Milan 10
- Average cards: 4.6 per match, with two recent reds
- Corners: Inter averages 6, Milan 3.9
- Milan’s last final: 2003, defeating Roma
Role of the coaches in the classic
Simone Inzaghi, Inter’s coach, is known for his disciplined tactical approach, emphasizing possession and high pressing. Since taking over in 2021, he has won two Coppa Italia titles, one Serie A, and three Italian Super Cups, transforming Inter into a European powerhouse. In the classic, Inzaghi will rely on Bastoni and De Vrij to neutralize Rafael Leão and on Çalhanoğlu’s creativity to create goal-scoring chances.
Sérgio Conceição, who joined Milan in December, faces the challenge of stabilizing the team in an inconsistent season. The Portuguese coach brought intensity to the squad, as shown in the Super Cup comeback against Inter, but consistency is still lacking. Conceição will prioritize Leão and Pulisic’s speed on counterattacks, while Fofana and Reijnders aim to contain Inter’s midfield. His experience in knockout games, from his time at Porto, could be a trump card for Milan.
Both coaches face pressure in the classic. Inzaghi needs to maintain momentum across three competitions, while Conceição seeks to prove he can lead Milan back to the top. Lineup choices and in-game substitutions will be crucial, especially with absences and doubts on both sides.
Fans’ expectations and economic impact
Inter’s fans are confident, buoyed by the Serie A lead and the Champions League campaign. Supporters expect Lautaro Martínez and Çalhanoğlu to deliver, though Thuram’s absence raises caution. Milan fans trust in Rafael Leão’s talent and Tammy Abraham’s knack for scoring big goals, as seen in the Super Cup. Social media is abuzz with banter and memes, with hashtags like #DerbyDellaMadonnina and #CoppaItalia trending on Twitter.
The classic also has significant economic impact. The broadcast on CazéTV and Prime Video is expected to draw millions of viewers in Brazil, with global audiences potentially exceeding 50 million, given the Coppa Italia’s reach. The San Siro, with sold-out tickets, should generate around 5 million euros in revenue, boosting local commerce, with bars and restaurants packed. Sports betting is also heating up, with markets like total goals, corners, and cards moving millions of reais on platforms like Bet365 and Stake.
The clash also strengthens the clubs’ brands. Inter, valued at 1.2 billion euros, and Milan, with a market value of 800 million euros, use the classic to attract sponsors and expand their global fanbase. Nike, a sponsor of both, launched special Derby della Madonnina jerseys, with sales expected to surpass 100,000 units.
Coppa Italia 2024/25 schedule
The Coppa Italia 2024/25 is in its decisive phase, with the semifinals determining the finalists. The Inter vs Milan match is the second second-leg clash, following Bologna vs Empoli, where Bologna won 3-0 in the first leg. Key dates in the competition are:
- Quarterfinals: April 22 and 23
- Semifinals (second leg): April 23 and 24
- Final: May 14, at the Olympic Stadium in Rome
Inter eliminated Lazio in the quarterfinals with a 2-0 win, while Milan advanced past Roma with a 2-1 score. The winner of the classic will face the Bologna vs Empoli victor, with Bologna favored after the first-leg result. The Coppa Italia final guarantees the champion a spot in the Europa League group stage, an extra incentive for Inter and Milan.
- Quarterfinals: Inter 2-0 Lazio, Milan 2-1 Roma
- Semifinals (first leg): Inter 1-1 Milan, Empoli 0-3 Bologna
- Final: May 14, in Rome
- Prize: Europa League spot for the champion
Predictions and betting markets
Bookmakers see Inter as the favorite, with odds of 1.75 for a win, compared to 4.50 for Milan and 3.30 for a draw. Markets like under 2.5 goals, with odds of 2.02, and over 4.5 cards, with odds of 1.86, are popular due to the history of tight and intense games. Inter is also favored in corners, with odds of 1.57 to lead the market, reflecting their average of 6 corners per game against Milan.
Analysts note that Inter has the edge due to tactical consistency and home-field advantage, but Milan could surprise with individual plays from Leão and Pulisic. The possibility of extra time, with odds of 6.00, is also considered, as the first-leg draw increases the chances of a closely contested match. For bettors, the advice is to monitor the official lineups, released an hour before the game, to confirm the presence of players like Walker and Loftus-Cheek for Milan.
The classic promises to be a test of strategy, talent, and emotion, with both teams aware of the importance of reaching the final. Inter aims to maintain its recent dominance, while Milan seeks to repeat the Super Cup feat and restore its prestige. Regardless of the outcome, the Derby della Madonnina will be another unforgettable chapter in Italian football history.
The classic between Inter Milan and AC Milan, known as the Derby della Madonnina, takes center stage at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan on Wednesday, April 23, at 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), for the second leg of the Coppa Italia 2024/25 semifinal. After a 1-1 draw in the first leg, with goals from Tammy Abraham for Milan and Hakan Çalhanoğlu for Inter, both teams enter the match with equal chances of advancing to the final, set for May 14 at the Olympic Stadium in Rome. Inter, the Serie A leader and Champions League semifinalist, aims to solidify its successful season, while Milan, ninth in the Italian league, bets on the competition to salvage its year and secure a Europa League spot. The match will be broadcast live by CazéTV on YouTube and Prime Video, with expectations of a large audience in Brazil and worldwide. The clash promises tension, rivalry, and decisive moments, with Inter missing Marcus Thuram and Milan counting on the return of players like Kyle Walker and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
The historic rivalry between the two Milanese clubs, who have faced each other 229 times in official matches, adds even more weight to the duel. Inter holds the edge in the head-to-head record, with 85 wins compared to Milan’s 74 and 70 draws. However, the last five encounters have been balanced, with three draws and one win for each side. Milan’s last significant victory came in the Italian Super Cup in January, defeating Inter 3-2 in a dramatic comeback. Inter, in turn, eliminated Milan in the 2021/22 Coppa Italia semifinal with a 3-0 score in the second leg. Expectations are for a tightly contested match, with strong defending and few clear scoring chances, as recent statistics show three of the last five classics with under 2.5 goals.
Inter, led by Simone Inzaghi, is enjoying a high-level season, with 71 points at the top of Serie A and a solid Champions League campaign, facing Barcelona in the semifinals. Despite a recent 1-0 loss to Bologna, the blue-and-black team maintains tactical consistency and offensive strength led by Lautaro Martínez. Milan, under Sérgio Conceição, faces an inconsistent season, with only 51 points in Serie A and struggles to reach European spots. The Coppa Italia is seen as the main chance to win a title and restore fan confidence. The San Siro, with a capacity of 81,000 spectators, promises to be a football spectacle, with both teams fielding their best available lineups.
- Match: Inter Milan vs AC Milan, Coppa Italia 2024/25 semifinal
- Date and time: April 23, 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time)
- Venue: Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, Milan
- Broadcast: CazéTV (YouTube) and Prime Video
Context of the classic in the Coppa Italia
The Derby della Madonnina is one of the most iconic clashes in world football, pitting two Italian giants who share the same stadium and a century-long rivalry. In the Coppa Italia, Italy’s most traditional competition after Serie A, Inter and Milan have a history of memorable duels. Inter has won the tournament nine times, with their last triumph in 2023, while Milan has lifted the trophy five times, with their last title in 2003. The 2025 semifinal marks the eighth time the two clubs face off in the competition’s knockout stages, with four advancements for each side.
In the first leg, played on April 2, the 1-1 draw reflected the balance between the teams. Tammy Abraham opened the scoring for Milan shortly after halftime with a precise shot into the bottom corner. Inter responded with a stunning long-range goal from Hakan Çalhanoğlu at the 67th minute. The match was marked by strong defending and few clear chances, with Inter dominating possession but unable to break through Milan’s defense. The result left the decision open for the second leg, where a simple victory secures a spot in the final. In case of another draw, the match will go to extra time and, if necessary, penalties.
The clash also carries emotional weight for fans. The San Siro, the match’s venue, will be split between Inter’s blue-and-black supporters and Milan’s red-and-black fans, creating a unique atmosphere. The rivalry, which began in 1908, has produced historic moments, such as Milan’s elimination of Inter in the 2003 Champions League semifinal and Inter’s 3-0 victory in the 2005 quarterfinals of the same competition. For 2025, expectations are for a tactical game, with both coaches prioritizing defensive solidity to avoid mistakes at a crucial moment.
From the archives 🎞️📸#ForzaInter #CoppaItaliaFrecciarossa #DerbyMilano #InterMilan pic.twitter.com/0DmTXFJoTA
— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) April 23, 2025
Recent form of the teams
Inter Milan arrives at the classic with confidence, despite a stumble against Bologna in the latest Serie A round. With 71 points, the team leads the Italian championship, tied with Napoli, and maintains a consistent Champions League campaign, defeating Feyenoord 4-1 on aggregate in the round of 16. Simone Inzaghi’s team is known for its tactical organization, with a solid defense led by Alessandro Bastoni and a creative midfield driven by Nicolò Barella and Hakan Çalhanoğlu. The absence of Marcus Thuram, sidelined with a left thigh injury, is a challenge, but Lautaro Martínez, with 12 goals this season, remains the main offensive weapon.
Milan, on the other hand, is experiencing an up-and-down season. With 51 points in Serie A, the team sits in ninth place, five points behind European qualification spots. A 1-0 loss to Atalanta last weekend increased pressure on coach Sérgio Conceição, who took over in December. Despite the inconsistency, Milan has shown strength in key moments, such as the 3-2 comeback victory over Inter in the Italian Super Cup in January, with goals from Theo Hernández, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham. Rafael Leão, with his speed and skill, is the biggest hope to unsettle the match.
Recent statistics highlight the balance of the classic. In the last five games between Inter and Milan, each team averaged 1.2 goals per match, with an average of 4.6 cards per game, indicating the intensity of the duels. Inter has a slight edge in corners, averaging 6 per game compared to Milan’s 3.9. For the second leg, Inter is expected to rely on its possession, which reached 58% in the first leg, while Milan will look for quick counterattacks, exploiting the skills of Leão and Pulisic.
- Inter: Serie A leader with 71 points, Champions League semifinalist
- Milan: 9th in Serie A with 51 points, aiming for a title to save the season
- Recent clashes: Three draws, one Inter win, one Milan win
- Absences: Marcus Thuram (Inter); Kyle Walker and Loftus-Cheek are doubts (Milan)
Probable lineups and tactical strategies
Inter Milan is expected to stick with its usual 3-5-2 formation, with Yann Sommer in goal and a defensive line of Yann Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, and Alessandro Bastoni. On the wings, Denzel Darmian and Carlos Augusto provide offensive and defensive support, while the midfield will feature Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, and Henrikh Mkhitaryan, responsible for creativity and marking. Up front, Mehdi Taremi replaces Marcus Thuram alongside Lautaro Martínez, who is chasing his 13th goal of the season. Simone Inzaghi is likely to prioritize possession and high pressing to force Milan into mistakes.
Milan, lined up in a 3-4-3 by Sérgio Conceição, will have Mike Maignan in goal, with Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, and Strahinja Pavlovic in defense. Alejandro Jiménez and Theo Hernández occupy the wings, while Youssouf Fofana and Tijjani Reijnders form the midfield duo. Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, and Rafael Leão make up the attacking trio, with Leão as the main weapon in high-speed plays. Milan is expected to adopt a reactive stance, betting on quick counterattacks to surprise Inter’s defense.
The lineups reflect the coaches’ strategies. Inzaghi relies on the experience of his starters, even without Thuram, while Conceição trusts the individual talent of Leão and Pulisic to create goal-scoring opportunities. The return of Kyle Walker and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, previously injured, gives Milan more options, but their participation will only be confirmed hours before the match. Inter may bring on Davide Frattesi in the second half to bolster the midfield.
History of the Derby della Madonnina
The Inter vs Milan clash is one of the oldest and most prestigious in world football, with 229 official matches since 1908. Inter has won 85 times, while Milan has triumphed in 74, with 70 draws. In the Coppa Italia, the teams have met 25 times, with 12 Inter victories, 8 for Milan, and 5 draws. Inter has the recent edge in the competition, eliminating Milan in the 2021 quarterfinals (2-1) and the 2022 semifinal (3-0 on aggregate).
The Italian Super Cup in January 2025 marked Milan’s last significant win, with a 3-2 comeback in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Lautaro Martínez and Mehdi Taremi put Inter 2-0 up, but Theo Hernández, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham secured the title for the rossoneri. The match was decided in stoppage time, with Rafael Leão providing the assist for Abraham’s goal. This result boosted Milan’s confidence for the classic, but Inter remains the favorite due to its consistency throughout the season.
Historic moments in the Derby della Madonnina include the 2003 Champions League semifinal, when Milan advanced with two draws (0-0 and 1-1) due to the away goals rule, and the 2005 quarterfinals, when Milan won 2-0 and 3-0. In the Coppa Italia, the clashes are typically close, with games decided by small details. The average goals in the last ten classics is 2.3 per match, suggesting the second leg may be more of a tactical battle than a goal fest.
- Total matches: 229, with 85 Inter wins, 74 Milan wins, and 70 draws
- In the Coppa Italia: 25 matches, with 12 Inter wins and 8 Milan wins
- Milan’s last win: 3-2 in the Italian Super Cup, January
- Inter’s last win: 3-0 in the 2022 Coppa Italia semifinal
Impact of the classic on the season
The outcome of the classic will have direct consequences for Inter and Milan’s ambitions in the 2024/25 season. For Inter, advancing to the Coppa Italia final is a step toward a potential treble, as the team also leads Serie A and is in the Champions League semifinals. A victory over their rival would boost the squad’s confidence and solidify Simone Inzaghi’s status as one of Europe’s top coaches. Inter has won the Coppa Italia in 2022 and 2023, and a third title in four years would be a historic milestone for the club.
For Milan, the Coppa Italia is the main chance to win a title this season and secure a spot in the 2025/26 Europa League, as the team is far from the top spots in Serie A. Sérgio Conceição, who took over in December, faces pressure to improve the team’s performance, and a win in the classic would be a turning point. The Italian Super Cup title, won against Inter, showed Milan’s potential to surprise, but inconsistency in the league remains a concern.
The winner of the clash will face Bologna or Empoli in the final, scheduled for May 14. Bologna holds the advantage after a 3-0 win in the first leg, making them the likely opponent. For Inter and Milan, the final represents not only a chance at a trophy but also an opportunity to mark the season with a significant achievement against a historic rival.
Where to watch and how to follow the match
Brazilian fans can watch the classic live on CazéTV, available for free on YouTube, and on the Prime Video streaming platform, which requires a subscription. The broadcast begins at 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), with pre-match coverage starting at 3:30 p.m. on both channels. CazéTV has stood out for its Coppa Italia broadcasts, offering lively narration and commentary, while Prime Video provides a premium experience with high-definition image quality.
For those preferring real-time updates, apps like Sofascore and Flashscore offer live statistics, including possession, shots on goal, corners, and cards. The clubs’ social media accounts, such as Inter and Milan’s official profiles on Instagram and Twitter, will also post minute-by-minute updates, with videos of key moments and post-match interviews. Expectations are for high online engagement, with fans sharing memes, analyses, and banter during the classic.
In addition to live broadcasts, the match will be available for replay on Prime Video, allowing fans to rewatch the best moments. For those in Milan, tickets for the San Siro match are sold out, with prices ranging from 50 to 200 euros, depending on the section. The atmosphere at the stadium promises to be electric, with both clubs’ organized fan groups preparing mosaics and chants to support their teams.
- Live broadcast: CazéTV (YouTube) and Prime Video
- Time: 4:00 p.m. (Brasília time), with pre-match at 3:30 p.m.
- Online updates: Sofascore, Flashscore, and clubs’ social media
- Tickets: Sold out, with prices from 50 to 200 euros
Statistics and curiosities of the clash
The Derby della Madonnina is known for its intensity and balance, with statistics reflecting the rivalry. In the last ten clashes, Inter scored 13 goals, while Milan netted 10. The average cards per match is 4.6, with two red cards in the last five classics, indicating the physicality of the games. Corners are also a highlight, with Inter leading with an average of 6 per game compared to Milan’s 3.9.
Curiously, Inter hasn’t beaten Milan in their last four meetings, a streak that includes three draws and the Super Cup loss. Inter’s last win was in the 2023 Champions League semifinal, eliminating Milan with a 3-0 aggregate score. For Milan, the classic is a chance to repeat January’s feat, when Rafael Leão was decisive with a stoppage-time assist. Tijjani Reijnders, Milan’s Dutch midfielder, has also shone against Inter, with a goal and an assist in three games this season.
Another relevant stat is the teams’ performance in the Coppa Italia. Inter has a 75% win rate in their last ten matches in the competition, while Milan won 60% of their games. The 2023 final, when Inter beat Fiorentina 2-1, showcased Inzaghi’s team’s strength in decisive matches. Milan, meanwhile, hasn’t reached the final since 2003, when they defeated Roma.
- Goals in last ten matches: Inter 13, Milan 10
- Average cards: 4.6 per match, with two recent reds
- Corners: Inter averages 6, Milan 3.9
- Milan’s last final: 2003, defeating Roma
Role of the coaches in the classic
Simone Inzaghi, Inter’s coach, is known for his disciplined tactical approach, emphasizing possession and high pressing. Since taking over in 2021, he has won two Coppa Italia titles, one Serie A, and three Italian Super Cups, transforming Inter into a European powerhouse. In the classic, Inzaghi will rely on Bastoni and De Vrij to neutralize Rafael Leão and on Çalhanoğlu’s creativity to create goal-scoring chances.
Sérgio Conceição, who joined Milan in December, faces the challenge of stabilizing the team in an inconsistent season. The Portuguese coach brought intensity to the squad, as shown in the Super Cup comeback against Inter, but consistency is still lacking. Conceição will prioritize Leão and Pulisic’s speed on counterattacks, while Fofana and Reijnders aim to contain Inter’s midfield. His experience in knockout games, from his time at Porto, could be a trump card for Milan.
Both coaches face pressure in the classic. Inzaghi needs to maintain momentum across three competitions, while Conceição seeks to prove he can lead Milan back to the top. Lineup choices and in-game substitutions will be crucial, especially with absences and doubts on both sides.
Fans’ expectations and economic impact
Inter’s fans are confident, buoyed by the Serie A lead and the Champions League campaign. Supporters expect Lautaro Martínez and Çalhanoğlu to deliver, though Thuram’s absence raises caution. Milan fans trust in Rafael Leão’s talent and Tammy Abraham’s knack for scoring big goals, as seen in the Super Cup. Social media is abuzz with banter and memes, with hashtags like #DerbyDellaMadonnina and #CoppaItalia trending on Twitter.
The classic also has significant economic impact. The broadcast on CazéTV and Prime Video is expected to draw millions of viewers in Brazil, with global audiences potentially exceeding 50 million, given the Coppa Italia’s reach. The San Siro, with sold-out tickets, should generate around 5 million euros in revenue, boosting local commerce, with bars and restaurants packed. Sports betting is also heating up, with markets like total goals, corners, and cards moving millions of reais on platforms like Bet365 and Stake.
The clash also strengthens the clubs’ brands. Inter, valued at 1.2 billion euros, and Milan, with a market value of 800 million euros, use the classic to attract sponsors and expand their global fanbase. Nike, a sponsor of both, launched special Derby della Madonnina jerseys, with sales expected to surpass 100,000 units.
Coppa Italia 2024/25 schedule
The Coppa Italia 2024/25 is in its decisive phase, with the semifinals determining the finalists. The Inter vs Milan match is the second second-leg clash, following Bologna vs Empoli, where Bologna won 3-0 in the first leg. Key dates in the competition are:
- Quarterfinals: April 22 and 23
- Semifinals (second leg): April 23 and 24
- Final: May 14, at the Olympic Stadium in Rome
Inter eliminated Lazio in the quarterfinals with a 2-0 win, while Milan advanced past Roma with a 2-1 score. The winner of the classic will face the Bologna vs Empoli victor, with Bologna favored after the first-leg result. The Coppa Italia final guarantees the champion a spot in the Europa League group stage, an extra incentive for Inter and Milan.
- Quarterfinals: Inter 2-0 Lazio, Milan 2-1 Roma
- Semifinals (first leg): Inter 1-1 Milan, Empoli 0-3 Bologna
- Final: May 14, in Rome
- Prize: Europa League spot for the champion
Predictions and betting markets
Bookmakers see Inter as the favorite, with odds of 1.75 for a win, compared to 4.50 for Milan and 3.30 for a draw. Markets like under 2.5 goals, with odds of 2.02, and over 4.5 cards, with odds of 1.86, are popular due to the history of tight and intense games. Inter is also favored in corners, with odds of 1.57 to lead the market, reflecting their average of 6 corners per game against Milan.
Analysts note that Inter has the edge due to tactical consistency and home-field advantage, but Milan could surprise with individual plays from Leão and Pulisic. The possibility of extra time, with odds of 6.00, is also considered, as the first-leg draw increases the chances of a closely contested match. For bettors, the advice is to monitor the official lineups, released an hour before the game, to confirm the presence of players like Walker and Loftus-Cheek for Milan.
The classic promises to be a test of strategy, talent, and emotion, with both teams aware of the importance of reaching the final. Inter aims to maintain its recent dominance, while Milan seeks to repeat the Super Cup feat and restore its prestige. Regardless of the outcome, the Derby della Madonnina will be another unforgettable chapter in Italian football history.
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